Rafael Natal vs Tim Boetsch

Tim Boetsch's 4-fight experience advantage (20 vs 16 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Boetsch for the expected result. Had Rafael Natal pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Tim Boetsch earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:22, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Tim Boetsch controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 56.0% vs 27.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tim Boetsch capitalized on this striking dominance.

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Tim Boetsch demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Tim Boetsch capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Natal's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Tim Boetsch extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafael Natal is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.