July 6, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Rafaello Oliveira's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rafaello Oliveira for the expected result. Had Yoislandy Izquierdo pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 971 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 981 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Rafaello Oliveira earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 27 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 40 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 178 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 956 | 929 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Rafaello Oliveira dominated the striking exchanges with 178 vs 43 total strikes, 72.5% vs 47.4% accuracy. Rafaello Oliveira capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:01 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 819 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Rafaello Oliveira dominated Yoislandy Izquierdo on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 11:01 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 012 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Rafaello Oliveira demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rafaello Oliveira capitalized on this activity level, while Yoislandy Izquierdo's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Rafaello Oliveira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yoislandy Izquierdo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rafaello Oliveira | Yoislandy Izquierdo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 971 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.