Rafaello Oliveira vs Yves Edwards

September 30, 2011

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

945
(-27)
Rafaello Oliveira
Winner: Yves Edwards
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Rafaello Oliveira-27
Yves Edwards+32
1127
(+32)
Yves Edwards

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -27Yves Edwards: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Total UFC Fights514
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO9431 044
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards's 9-fight experience advantage (14 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yves Edwards for the expected result. Had Rafaello Oliveira pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -16Yves Edwards: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9481 063
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -19Yves Edwards: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:442:44
Win Type ELO9361 212
ELO Change-19+38
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -79Yves Edwards: +79

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Significant Strikes Landed2242
Significant Strikes Attempted117108
Total Strikes Landed2855
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9061 216
ELO Change-79+79
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards dominated the striking exchanges with 55 vs 28 total strikes, 42 vs 22 significant strikes, 38.9% vs 18.8% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Yves Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -36Yves Edwards: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:430:35
Ground Strikes Landed012
Ground ELO9311 117
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards landed 2 knockdowns followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -12Yves Edwards: +30

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Days Since Last Fight126112
Activity ELO9921 191
ELO Change-12+30
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yves Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Rafaello Oliveira's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -14Yves Edwards: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9531 111
ELO Change-14+15
💡

What Happened

Yves Edwards started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rafaello Oliveira is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Rafaello Oliveira: -16Yves Edwards: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricRafaello OliveiraYves Edwards
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9481 063
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.