May 17, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 973 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +29 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 040 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Themba Gorimbo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 915 | 1 230 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Themba Gorimbo dominated the striking exchanges with 110 vs 15 total strikes, 43 vs 3 significant strikes, 82.7% vs 50.0% accuracy. Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:44 | 10:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 918 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Themba Gorimbo dominated Ramiz Brahimaj on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 10:13 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 812 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +58 |
Themba Gorimbo demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Themba Gorimbo capitalized on this activity level, while Ramiz Brahimaj's 812-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Themba Gorimbo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ramiz Brahimaj is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ramiz Brahimaj | Themba Gorimbo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

