Randy Brown vs Vicente Luque

July 31, 2020

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1126
(-27)
Randy Brown
Winner: Vicente Luque
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:56

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Randy Brown-27
Vicente Luque+33
1303
(+33)
Vicente Luque

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -24Vicente Luque: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Total UFC Fights1015
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 1171 254
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque's 5-fight experience advantage (15 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vicente Luque for the expected result. Had Randy Brown pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -16Vicente Luque: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0491 157
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -26Vicente Luque: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:564:56
Win Type ELO1 2741 496
ELO Change-26+53
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -75Vicente Luque: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Significant Strikes Landed6164
Significant Strikes Attempted133122
Total Strikes Landed6676
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO1 1781 462
ELO Change-75+75
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque dominated the striking exchanges, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -36Vicente Luque: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:521:06
Ground Strikes Landed05
Ground ELO1 1331 319
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque landed 2 knockdowns followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -11Vicente Luque: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Days Since Last Fight25984
Activity ELO1 1351 358
ELO Change-11+33
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Brown's 259-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -14Vicente Luque: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0691 223
ELO Change-14+17
💡

What Happened

Vicente Luque extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Brown is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: -16Vicente Luque: +16

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownVicente Luque
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0491 157
ELO Change-16+16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.