Randy Brown vs Warlley Alves

November 15, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1153
(+48)
Randy Brown
Winner: Randy Brown
Submission
Round 2 • 1:22

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Randy Brown+48
Warlley Alves-40
1119
(-40)
Warlley Alves

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +39Warlley Alves: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Total UFC Fights911
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 1411 100
ELO Change+39-34
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Warlley Alves.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +23Warlley Alves: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0651 054
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +73Warlley Alves: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:221:22
Win Type ELO1 3001 220
ELO Change+73-47
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Warlley Alves was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +58Warlley Alves: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Significant Strikes Landed163
Significant Strikes Attempted3011
Total Strikes Landed248
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2531 133
ELO Change+58-58
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown edged the striking exchanges with 16 vs 3 significant strikes, 53.3% vs 27.3% accuracy. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +91Warlley Alves: -91

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Takedowns Landed13
Takedowns Attempted13
Ground Control Time1:124:18
Ground Strikes Landed42
Ground ELO1 1691 204
ELO Change+91-91
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown controlled Warlley Alves on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:12 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +45Warlley Alves: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Days Since Last Fight148190
Activity ELO1 1461 106
ELO Change+45-23
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Warlley Alves's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +29Warlley Alves: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 0831 079
ELO Change+29-24
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Warlley Alves is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +23Warlley Alves: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWarlley Alves
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0651 054
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.