Randy Brown vs Wellington Turman

June 23, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1214
(+16)
Randy Brown
Winner: Randy Brown
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Randy Brown+16
Wellington Turman-14
994
(-14)
Wellington Turman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +17Wellington Turman: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Total UFC Fights168
Experience Gap8-8
Experience ELO1 2381 026
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown's 8-fight experience advantage (16 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Brown for the expected result. Had Wellington Turman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +14Wellington Turman: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 119975
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +14Wellington Turman: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3561 045
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

Randy Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +4Wellington Turman: -4

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Significant Strikes Landed6455
Significant Strikes Attempted134105
Total Strikes Landed7896
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 285890
ELO Change+4-4
💡

What Happened

Wellington Turman controlled the striking through superior volume (96 vs 78 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (55 vs 64). However, since Wellington Turman lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Randy Brown's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +20Wellington Turman: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted25
Ground Control Time2:473:05
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 164976
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown edged out Wellington Turman on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:47 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +25Wellington Turman: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Days Since Last Fight133224
Activity ELO1 2661 078
ELO Change+25-12
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Wellington Turman's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +14Wellington Turman: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 161990
ELO Change+14-13
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What Happened

Randy Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wellington Turman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Randy Brown: +14Wellington Turman: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricRandy BrownWellington Turman
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 119974
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.