March 2, 2007
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 212 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Randy Couture's 6-fight experience advantage (17 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Couture for the expected result. Had Tim Sylvia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 350 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -20 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Randy Couture captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 442 | 1 428 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Randy Couture earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 106 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 138 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 456 | 1 335 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Randy Couture dominated the striking exchanges with 138 vs 39 total strikes, 73 vs 25 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 23.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Randy Couture capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 15:51 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 31 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 498 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Randy Couture dominated Tim Sylvia on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 15:51 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 392 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 358 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -17 |
Randy Couture demonstrated extended layoff with 392 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Randy Couture capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Sylvia's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 215 | 1 156 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Randy Couture started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Sylvia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 370 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.