January 30, 2004
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 186 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +50 |
Vitor Belfort overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Randy Couture.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 292 | 1 177 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +102 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Vitor Belfort captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 419 | 1 381 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +67 |
Vitor Belfort secured a devastating TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in 0:49 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 438 | 1 320 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 474 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 128 | 240 |
| Activity ELO | 1 359 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +33 |
Vitor Belfort demonstrated standard activity with 240 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Vitor Belfort capitalized on this activity level, while Randy Couture's 128-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 200 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +35 |
Vitor Belfort extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randy Couture is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 417 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.