August 20, 2004
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 216 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Randy Couture's 3-fight experience advantage (13 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Couture for the expected result. Had Vitor Belfort pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 335 | 1 163 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -14 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Randy Couture captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 441 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Randy Couture gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 502 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -64 |
Randy Couture dominated the striking exchanges with 131 vs 10 total strikes, 50 vs 3 significant strikes, 70.4% vs 50.0% accuracy. Randy Couture capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 14:06 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 506 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Randy Couture dominated Vitor Belfort on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 14:06 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 383 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
Randy Couture demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randy Couture capitalized on this activity level, while Vitor Belfort's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 218 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Randy Couture started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vitor Belfort is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Randy Couture | Vitor Belfort |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 423 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +6 | -6 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.