March 12, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 131 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Rani Yahya's 16-fight experience advantage (18 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Ray Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 107 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:09 | 3:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 241 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -17 |
Rani Yahya earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:09, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ray Rodriguez was submitted.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 13 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 125 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Rani Yahya edged the striking exchanges with 42 vs 15 total strikes, 8 vs 3 significant strikes, 61.5% vs 16.7% accuracy. Rani Yahya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Rani Yahya dominated Ray Rodriguez on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:00 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 167 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Ray Rodriguez's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 133 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -13 |
Rani Yahya started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ray Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Ray Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 107 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.