February 23, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 129 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Rani Yahya's 6-fight experience advantage (14 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Russell Doane pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 106 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:32 | 2:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 242 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -23 |
Rani Yahya earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:32, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Russell Doane was submitted.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 105 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Rani Yahya dominated the striking exchanges with 105 vs 15 total strikes, 17 vs 2 significant strikes, 85.0% vs 25.0% accuracy. Rani Yahya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:59 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 302 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Rani Yahya dominated Russell Doane on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 9:59 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 170 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Russell Doane's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 132 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Rani Yahya extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Russell Doane is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Russell Doane |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.