November 29, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 008 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Tom Niinimaki overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rani Yahya.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 031 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Tom Niinimaki receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 054 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Tom Niinimaki controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 24 total strikes, 63.0% vs 45.5% accuracy. Tom Niinimaki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:30 | 9:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
Tom Niinimaki controlled Rani Yahya on the ground with 4 vs 2 takedowns, 9:06 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 047 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Tom Niinimaki demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Tom Niinimaki capitalized on this activity level, while Rani Yahya's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Tom Niinimaki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rani Yahya is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rani Yahya | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

