June 25, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 119 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +52 |
Timur Valiev overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raoni Barcelos.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Timur Valiev earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 69 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 131 | 190 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 81 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 212 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Raoni Barcelos controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (69 vs 77), superior accuracy (52.7% vs 40.5%), 2 knockdowns. However, since Raoni Barcelos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Timur Valiev's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:23 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 228 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Timur Valiev did not secure a significant ground advantage against Raoni Barcelos on the ground with 0:42 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +54 |
Timur Valiev demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Timur Valiev capitalized on this activity level, while Raoni Barcelos's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 100 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +33 |
Timur Valiev extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raoni Barcelos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Timur Valiev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

