September 30, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 039 | 882 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Raoni Barcelos's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raoni Barcelos for the expected result. Had Trevin Jones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 181 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Raoni Barcelos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 119 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 228 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Raoni Barcelos dominated the striking exchanges with 119 vs 15 total strikes, 73 vs 11 significant strikes, 61.3% vs 19.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 32 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 224 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Raoni Barcelos controlled Trevin Jones on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:07 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Raoni Barcelos demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this activity level, while Trevin Jones's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 090 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Raoni Barcelos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevin Jones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.