January 13, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 016 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +31 |
Umar Nurmagomedov overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raoni Barcelos.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:40 | 4:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 142 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +83 |
Umar Nurmagomedov earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 14 | 36 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 130 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | -98 | +98 |
Umar Nurmagomedov controlled the striking exchanges with 36 vs 14 total strikes, 36 vs 13 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 54.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 357 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 1 074 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Umar Nurmagomedov demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Umar Nurmagomedov capitalized on this activity level, while Raoni Barcelos's 106-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +30 |
Umar Nurmagomedov extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raoni Barcelos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raoni Barcelos | Umar Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.