Raphael Assuncao vs TJ Dillashaw

October 8, 2013

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1163
(+29)
Raphael Assuncao
Winner: Raphael Assuncao
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Raphael Assuncao+29
TJ Dillashaw-21
1129
(-21)
TJ Dillashaw

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +31TJ Dillashaw: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Total UFC Fights66
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1401 083
ELO Change+31-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +21TJ Dillashaw: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0851 042
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +12TJ Dillashaw: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2161 233
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Raphael Assuncao receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +25TJ Dillashaw: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Significant Strikes Landed3229
Significant Strikes Attempted101101
Total Strikes Landed3732
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2451 210
ELO Change+25-25
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What Happened

Raphael Assuncao slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +27TJ Dillashaw: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted64
Ground Control Time0:192:48
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 2501 186
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Raphael Assuncao did not secure a significant ground advantage against TJ Dillashaw on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +53TJ Dillashaw: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Days Since Last Fight123172
Activity ELO1 1581 171
ELO Change+53-26
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What Happened

Raphael Assuncao demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Dillashaw's 172-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +40TJ Dillashaw: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 1261 062
ELO Change+40-21
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What Happened

Raphael Assuncao continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. TJ Dillashaw's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +21TJ Dillashaw: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoTJ Dillashaw
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0851 042
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.