October 8, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 140 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 216 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Raphael Assuncao receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 245 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Raphael Assuncao slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 2:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 250 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Raphael Assuncao did not secure a significant ground advantage against TJ Dillashaw on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 123 | 172 |
| Activity ELO | 1 158 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -26 |
Raphael Assuncao demonstrated solid activity levels with 123 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Dillashaw's 172-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 126 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -21 |
Raphael Assuncao continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. TJ Dillashaw's now at 0.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 085 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

