June 7, 2013
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -17 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:51 | 1:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 204 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -28 |
Raphael Assuncao earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:51, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Vaughan Lee was submitted.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 220 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Raphael Assuncao slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 31.5% vs 51.9% accuracy. Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 223 | 874 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Raphael Assuncao dominated Vaughan Lee on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:54 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 105 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Raphael Assuncao demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while Vaughan Lee's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 086 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -18 |
Raphael Assuncao extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vaughan Lee is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raphael Assuncao | Vaughan Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

