Raphael Assuncao vs Victor Henry

October 14, 2022

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1145
(+25)
Raphael Assuncao
Winner: Raphael Assuncao
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Raphael Assuncao+25
Victor Henry-25
1020
(-25)
Victor Henry

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +31Victor Henry: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Total UFC Fights182
Experience Gap16-16
Experience ELO1 1391 070
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao's 16-fight experience advantage (18 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raphael Assuncao for the expected result. Had Victor Henry pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +18Victor Henry: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0941 007
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +28Victor Henry: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2151 038
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +24Victor Henry: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Significant Strikes Landed6055
Significant Strikes Attempted91126
Total Strikes Landed7861
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0881 025
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao edged the striking exchanges with 60 vs 55 significant strikes, 65.9% vs 43.7% accuracy. Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +53Victor Henry: -53

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted51
Ground Control Time4:290:03
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 193985
ELO Change+53-53
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao controlled Victor Henry on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:29 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +12Victor Henry: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Days Since Last Fight301266
Activity ELO1 1941 015
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Raphael Assuncao demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Raphael Assuncao capitalized on this activity level, while Victor Henry's 266-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +16Victor Henry: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1541 015
ELO Change+16-15
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What Happened

Raphael Assuncao started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Victor Henry is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Raphael Assuncao: +19Victor Henry: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricRaphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0851 006
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.