November 29, 2013
Women's Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Raquel Pennington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 80 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 133 | 194 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 86 | 63 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 034 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Raquel Pennington controlled the striking exchanges with 86 vs 63 total strikes, 80 vs 42 significant strikes, 60.2% vs 21.6% accuracy. Raquel Pennington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:42 | 1:41 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 935 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Raquel Pennington controlled Roxanne Modafferi on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:42 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Raquel Pennington demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Raquel Pennington capitalized on this activity level, while Roxanne Modafferi's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Raquel Pennington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Roxanne Modafferi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raquel Pennington | Roxanne Modafferi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Bantamweight | Women's Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.