April 5, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -32 |
Rashad Evans overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Sam Hoger.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 023 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rashad Evans receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 72 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 111 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Sam Hoger controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (18 vs 23). However, since Sam Hoger lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rashad Evans's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:23 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 170 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +141 | -141 |
Rashad Evans dominated Sam Hoger on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 9:23 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 152 | 138 |
| Activity ELO | 1 061 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Rashad Evans demonstrated solid activity levels with 152 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Hoger's 138-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Rashad Evans extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Hoger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Sam Hoger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.