Rashad Evans vs Sean Salmon

January 24, 2007

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1195
(+24)
Rashad Evans
Winner: Rashad Evans
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Rashad Evans+24
Sean Salmon-17
983
(-17)
Sean Salmon

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +21Sean Salmon: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 147979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Rashad Evans's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rashad Evans for the expected result. Had Sean Salmon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +16Sean Salmon: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 100984
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +48Sean Salmon: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:061:06
Win Type ELO1 215977
ELO Change+48-23
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What Happened

Rashad Evans gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +34Sean Salmon: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Significant Strikes Landed1310
Significant Strikes Attempted3528
Total Strikes Landed1315
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 281966
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Rashad Evans controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rashad Evans capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +5Sean Salmon: -5

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:020:52
Ground Strikes Landed16
Ground ELO1 358995
ELO Change+5-5
💡

What Happened

Rashad Evans landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +20Sean Salmon: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Days Since Last Fight125N/A
Activity ELO1 223990
ELO Change+20-10
💡

What Happened

Rashad Evans demonstrated solid activity levels with 125 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Sean Salmon's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +28Sean Salmon: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 133985
ELO Change+28-15
💡

What Happened

Rashad Evans continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Sean Salmon's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Rashad Evans: +16Sean Salmon: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricRashad EvansSean Salmon
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 100984
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.