June 27, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 096 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -33 |
Rashad Evans overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stephan Bonnar.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Rashad Evans earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 37 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 48 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 138 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Rashad Evans slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 17 vs 12 significant strikes, 45.9% vs 33.3% accuracy. Rashad Evans capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:55 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 283 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -113 |
Rashad Evans dominated Stephan Bonnar on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 10:55 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 83 | 83 |
| Activity ELO | 1 137 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -25 |
Rashad Evans demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 83 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Stephan Bonnar's 83-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 076 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Rashad Evans extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stephan Bonnar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.