August 5, 2011
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 326 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -19 |
Rashad Evans overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tito Ortiz.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 251 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:48 | 4:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 530 | 1 351 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -32 |
Rashad Evans gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 435 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +95 | -95 |
Rashad Evans dominated the striking exchanges with 77 vs 6 total strikes, 48 vs 5 significant strikes, 49.5% vs 18.5% accuracy. Rashad Evans capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:05 | 1:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 506 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Rashad Evans controlled Tito Ortiz on the ground with 1 takedown, 5:05 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 434 | 35 |
| Activity ELO | 1 372 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Rashad Evans demonstrated extended layoff with 434 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Rashad Evans capitalized on this activity level, while Tito Ortiz's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 251 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Rashad Evans extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tito Ortiz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rashad Evans | Tito Ortiz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 194 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.