June 7, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 037 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:22 | 2:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 154 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -27 |
Raul Rosas Jr. earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ricky Turcios was submitted.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 25 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Ricky Turcios controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (64 vs 25 total strikes), superior accuracy (46.7% vs 33.3%). However, since Ricky Turcios lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Raul Rosas Jr.'s positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:49 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 216 | 864 |
| ELO Change | +186 | -186 |
Raul Rosas Jr. dominated Ricky Turcios on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:49 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 266 | 567 |
| Activity ELO | 1 059 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Raul Rosas Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raul Rosas Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Ricky Turcios's 567-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Raul Rosas Jr. extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricky Turcios is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Ricky Turcios |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 037 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.