March 29, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 891 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -15 |
Raul Rosas Jr. overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vince Morales.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 204 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Raul Rosas Jr. earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Vince Morales lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Raul Rosas Jr.'s positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 9:38 | 2:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 278 | 885 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Raul Rosas Jr. controlled Vince Morales on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 9:38 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 42 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -13 |
Raul Rosas Jr. demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raul Rosas Jr. capitalized on this activity level, while Vince Morales's 42-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 089 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -14 |
Raul Rosas Jr. extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vince Morales is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raul Rosas Jr. | Vince Morales |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.