August 9, 2019
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 959 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:56 | 2:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 963 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Rogerio Bontorin earned an early finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 1 at 2:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 15 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Rogerio Bontorin slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 8 vs 3 significant strikes, 53.3% vs 20.0% accuracy. Rogerio Bontorin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 940 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Rogerio Bontorin edged out Raulian Paiva on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:19 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 961 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Rogerio Bontorin demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rogerio Bontorin capitalized on this activity level, while Raulian Paiva's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 962 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Rogerio Bontorin extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raulian Paiva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Raulian Paiva | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

