Raulian Paiva vs Sean O'Malley

December 10, 2021

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1038
(-24)
Raulian Paiva
Winner: Sean O'Malley
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:42

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Raulian Paiva-24
Sean O'Malley+28
1213
(+28)
Sean O'Malley

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -22Sean O'Malley: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Total UFC Fights68
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0501 207
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sean O'Malley for the expected result. Had Raulian Paiva pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -17Sean O'Malley: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0131 109
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -18Sean O'Malley: +40

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:424:42
Win Type ELO1 0901 368
ELO Change-18+40
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What Happened

Sean O'Malley earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:42, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -41Sean O'Malley: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Significant Strikes Landed1139
Significant Strikes Attempted4762
Total Strikes Landed1140
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 0371 394
ELO Change-41+41
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 11 total strikes, 39 vs 11 significant strikes, 62.9% vs 23.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Sean O'Malley capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -44Sean O'Malley: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:000:02
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0291 174
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -14Sean O'Malley: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Days Since Last Fight141155
Activity ELO1 0421 202
ELO Change-14+24
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sean O'Malley capitalized on this activity level, while Raulian Paiva's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -17Sean O'Malley: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0291 141
ELO Change-17+22
💡

What Happened

Sean O'Malley extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raulian Paiva is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: -17Sean O'Malley: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaSean O'Malley
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0131 109
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.