Raulian Paiva vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov

July 10, 2020

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1031
(+28)
Raulian Paiva
Winner: Raulian Paiva
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Raulian Paiva+28
Zhalgas Zhumagulov-24
976
(-24)
Zhalgas Zhumagulov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +32Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Total UFC Fights41
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 031968
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Raulian Paiva's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raulian Paiva for the expected result. Had Zhalgas Zhumagulov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +22Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 005978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +36Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 087964
ELO Change+36-36
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What Happened

Raulian Paiva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +19Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Significant Strikes Landed5266
Significant Strikes Attempted121119
Total Strikes Landed5673
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 052981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

Zhalgas Zhumagulov controlled the striking through superior volume (73 vs 56 total strikes), significant strike advantage (66 vs 52), superior accuracy (55.5% vs 43.0%). However, since Zhalgas Zhumagulov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Raulian Paiva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +21Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted011
Ground Control Time0:430:29
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Raulian Paiva did not secure a significant ground advantage against Zhalgas Zhumagulov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +43Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Days Since Last Fight147N/A
Activity ELO1 034978
ELO Change+43-22
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What Happened

Raulian Paiva demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raulian Paiva capitalized on this activity level, while Zhalgas Zhumagulov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +26Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 013978
ELO Change+26-22
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What Happened

Raulian Paiva extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Raulian Paiva: +22Zhalgas Zhumagulov: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricRaulian PaivaZhalgas Zhumagulov
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 005978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.