February 14, 2020
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 065 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Ray Borg's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ray Borg for the expected result. Had Rogerio Bontorin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 182 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Ray Borg earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 24 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Ray Borg controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 24 total strikes, 35 vs 9 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 45.0% accuracy. Ray Borg capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 19 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:23 | 1:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 21 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 293 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Ray Borg dominated Rogerio Bontorin on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 11:23 of control time, 21 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 175 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -14 |
Ray Borg demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ray Borg capitalized on this activity level, while Rogerio Bontorin's 190-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Ray Borg extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rogerio Bontorin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ray Borg | Rogerio Bontorin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 069 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.