December 8, 2023
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Talita Alencar receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 57 | 36 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 130 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Rayanne dos Santos controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (80 vs 48 total strikes), significant strike advantage (57 vs 36), superior accuracy (43.8% vs 22.9%). However, since Rayanne dos Santos lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Talita Alencar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:14 | 2:44 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Talita Alencar controlled Rayanne dos Santos on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:44 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Talita Alencar demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since her last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Talita Alencar capitalized on this activity level, while Rayanne dos Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Talita Alencar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rayanne dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rayanne dos Santos | Talita Alencar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

