February 3, 2012
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 147 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Renan Barao earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 104 | 73 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 299 | 206 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 129 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 144 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Renan Barao controlled the striking exchanges with 129 vs 82 total strikes, 104 vs 73 significant strikes. Renan Barao capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:55 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 192 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Renan Barao did not secure a significant ground advantage against Scott Jorgensen on the ground with 1:55 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | 99 |
| Activity ELO | 1 109 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -21 |
Renan Barao demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Renan Barao capitalized on this activity level, while Scott Jorgensen's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Renan Barao extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Scott Jorgensen is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Renan Barao | Scott Jorgensen |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.