July 24, 2015
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 169 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 143 | 1 242 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +60 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. TJ Dillashaw captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 0:35 | 0:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 329 | 1 469 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +79 |
TJ Dillashaw gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 117 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 181 | 212 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 170 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 221 | 1 494 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
TJ Dillashaw dominated the striking exchanges with 170 vs 65 total strikes, 117 vs 62 significant strikes, 55.2% vs 34.3% accuracy. TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 5:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 315 | 1 417 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
TJ Dillashaw controlled Renan Barao on the ground with 5:37 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 217 | 329 |
| Activity ELO | 1 208 | 1 290 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
TJ Dillashaw demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this activity level, while Renan Barao's 217-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 185 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +36 |
TJ Dillashaw extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renan Barao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Renan Barao | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.