December 19, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 065 | 913 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Renato Moicano overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tom Niinimaki.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:30 | 3:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 052 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -34 |
Renato Moicano earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:30, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Tom Niinimaki was submitted.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 50 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 030 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Renato Moicano controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 33 significant strikes, 43.2% vs 51.6% accuracy. Renato Moicano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 862 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -110 |
Renato Moicano dominated Tom Niinimaki on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:31 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Renato Moicano demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Niinimaki's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Renato Moicano started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Niinimaki is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Renato Moicano | Tom Niinimaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.