October 12, 2012
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:10 | 3:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 953 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +71 |
Sergio Moraes earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:10, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Renee Forte was submitted.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 938 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Renee Forte controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (26 vs 16). However, since Renee Forte lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sergio Moraes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:58 | 4:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 877 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Sergio Moraes dominated Renee Forte on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:21 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +56 |
Sergio Moraes demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Moraes capitalized on this activity level, while Renee Forte's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Sergio Moraes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Renee Forte is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Renee Forte | Sergio Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.