Reuben Duran vs Takeya Mizugaki

March 2, 2011

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

973
(-27)
Reuben Duran
Winner: Takeya Mizugaki
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Reuben Duran-27
Takeya Mizugaki+28
1028
(+28)
Takeya Mizugaki

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -21Takeya Mizugaki: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -21Takeya Mizugaki: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -10Takeya Mizugaki: +11

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9901 011
ELO Change-10+11
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Takeya Mizugaki receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -21Takeya Mizugaki: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Significant Strikes Landed6743
Significant Strikes Attempted14392
Total Strikes Landed10577
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

Reuben Duran controlled the striking through superior volume (105 vs 77 total strikes), significant strike advantage (67 vs 43). However, since Reuben Duran lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Takeya Mizugaki's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -81Takeya Mizugaki: +81

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Takedowns Landed04
Takedowns Attempted24
Ground Control Time1:004:14
Ground Strikes Landed18
Ground ELO9191 081
ELO Change-81+81
💡

What Happened

Takeya Mizugaki controlled Reuben Duran on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:14 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -21Takeya Mizugaki: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Reuben Duran's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -21Takeya Mizugaki: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
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What Happened

Takeya Mizugaki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Reuben Duran is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Reuben Duran: -21Takeya Mizugaki: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricReuben DuranTakeya Mizugaki
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.