March 2, 2011
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Takeya Mizugaki receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 67 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 143 | 92 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 105 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Reuben Duran controlled the striking through superior volume (105 vs 77 total strikes), significant strike advantage (67 vs 43). However, since Reuben Duran lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Takeya Mizugaki's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 4:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 919 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Takeya Mizugaki controlled Reuben Duran on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 4:14 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Reuben Duran's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Takeya Mizugaki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Reuben Duran is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Reuben Duran | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

