May 7, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 050 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 155 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -34 |
Reza Madadi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 073 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Yan Cabral controlled the striking through superior volume (61 vs 36 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (32 vs 27). However, since Yan Cabral lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Reza Madadi's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:21 | 3:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Reza Madadi did not secure a significant ground advantage against Yan Cabral on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Reza Madadi demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Reza Madadi capitalized on this activity level, while Yan Cabral's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 028 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Reza Madadi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yan Cabral is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Reza Madadi | Yan Cabral |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.