May 30, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 065 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -42 |
Ricardo Abreu earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:06, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Wagner Silva was submitted.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 101 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 104 | 896 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -104 |
Ricardo Abreu dominated the striking exchanges with 43 vs 20 total strikes, 33 vs 17 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Ricardo Abreu capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:15 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 890 |
| ELO Change | +110 | -110 |
Ricardo Abreu dominated Wagner Silva on the ground with 1:15 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Ricardo Abreu demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Ricardo Abreu capitalized on this activity level, while Wagner Silva's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Ricardo Abreu started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wagner Silva is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ricardo Abreu | Wagner Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

