February 1, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Ricardo Almeida's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ricardo Almeida for the expected result. Had Rob Yundt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:08 | 1:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 097 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -39 |
Ricardo Almeida earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 948 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Ricardo Almeida slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 66.7% vs 18.2% accuracy. Ricardo Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 983 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 2 213 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -21 |
Ricardo Almeida demonstrated extended layoff with 2213 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Ricardo Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Yundt's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Ricardo Almeida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Yundt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | Rob Yundt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

