December 10, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Ricardo Almeida's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ricardo Almeida for the expected result. Had TJ Grant pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 255 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Ricardo Almeida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 93 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 118 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Ricardo Almeida dominated the striking exchanges with 93 vs 20 total strikes, 48 vs 6 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 33.3% accuracy. Ricardo Almeida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:19 | 0:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 39 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 325 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Ricardo Almeida dominated TJ Grant on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 12:19 of control time, 39 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 135 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Ricardo Almeida demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ricardo Almeida capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Grant's 78-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Ricardo Almeida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Grant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Ricardo Almeida | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 056 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.