April 4, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 910 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Roan Carneiro overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rich Clementi.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 961 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Roan Carneiro earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 36 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 884 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Roan Carneiro edged the striking exchanges with 22 vs 9 significant strikes, 61.1% vs 33.3% accuracy. Roan Carneiro capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 11:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 827 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Roan Carneiro dominated Rich Clementi on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 11:50 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Roan Carneiro demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Roan Carneiro capitalized on this activity level, while Rich Clementi's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 963 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Roan Carneiro started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rich Clementi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Roan Carneiro |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 961 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.