April 18, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Rich Clementi's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rich Clementi for the expected result. Had Sam Stout pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 030 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 141 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rich Clementi receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 102 | 176 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 001 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Rich Clementi edged the striking exchanges with 40 vs 48 significant strikes, 39.2% vs 27.3% accuracy. Rich Clementi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:23 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 084 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Rich Clementi controlled Sam Stout on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 5:23 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -16 |
Rich Clementi demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rich Clementi capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Stout's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Rich Clementi extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Stout is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rich Clementi | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 030 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

