April 18, 2008
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 248 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Rich Franklin's 6-fight experience advantage (12 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rich Franklin for the expected result. Had Travis Lutter pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 224 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 427 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -10 |
Rich Franklin gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 358 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Rich Franklin controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 9 total strikes, 28 vs 1 significant strikes, 65.1% vs 11.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Rich Franklin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:06 | 3:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 367 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +3 | -3 |
Rich Franklin landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 441 |
| Activity ELO | 1 335 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +7 | -5 |
Rich Franklin demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Rich Franklin capitalized on this activity level, while Travis Lutter's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 217 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -9 |
Rich Franklin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Travis Lutter is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rich Franklin | Travis Lutter |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 140 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.