Richard Walsh vs Steve Kennedy

November 13, 2015

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1020
(+29)
Richard Walsh
Winner: Richard Walsh
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Richard Walsh+29
Steve Kennedy-27
935
(-27)
Steve Kennedy

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +31Steve Kennedy: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Total UFC Fights42
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 006933
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Richard Walsh's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Richard Walsh for the expected result. Had Steve Kennedy pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +21Steve Kennedy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 001956
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +37Steve Kennedy: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 033915
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Richard Walsh earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +38Steve Kennedy: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Significant Strikes Landed9338
Significant Strikes Attempted170102
Total Strikes Landed13261
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 034912
ELO Change+38-38
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What Happened

Richard Walsh dominated the striking exchanges with 132 vs 61 total strikes, 93 vs 38 significant strikes, 54.7% vs 37.3% accuracy. Richard Walsh capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +32Steve Kennedy: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted08
Ground Control Time4:284:23
Ground Strikes Landed335
Ground ELO1 073893
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Richard Walsh edged out Steve Kennedy on the ground with 0 takedowns, 4:28 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +26Steve Kennedy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Days Since Last Fight259148
Activity ELO1 007956
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Richard Walsh demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Richard Walsh capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Kennedy's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +23Steve Kennedy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 005956
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Richard Walsh started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Kennedy is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Richard Walsh: +21Steve Kennedy: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricRichard WalshSteve Kennedy
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 001956
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.