May 27, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 206 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -38 |
Rick Story overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Alves.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 113 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 1 360 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Rick Story earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 62 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 169 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 301 | 1 392 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Rick Story controlled the striking exchanges with 79 vs 54 total strikes, 62 vs 41 significant strikes. Rick Story capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:39 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 411 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Rick Story dominated Thiago Alves on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 7:39 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 285 | 1 329 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -28 |
Rick Story demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rick Story capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Alves's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 196 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -27 |
Rick Story continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thiago Alves's now at 0.
| Metric | Rick Story | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 112 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.