Ricky Rainey vs Tim Means

Tim Means's 16-fight experience advantage (18 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Tim Means for the expected result. Had Ricky Rainey pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Tim Means earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:18, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Tim Means edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 6 total strikes, 19 vs 6 significant strikes, 59.4% vs 50.0% accuracy. Tim Means capitalized on this striking dominance.

Tim Means controlled Ricky Rainey on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:33 of control time, 14 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Tim Means demonstrated standard activity with 300 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Tim Means capitalized on this activity level, while Ricky Rainey's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Tim Means started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ricky Rainey is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.