November 9, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Riki Fukuda's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Riki Fukuda for the expected result. Had Tom DeBlass pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 015 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Riki Fukuda earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 85 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 164 | 120 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 229 | 67 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 039 | 888 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Riki Fukuda dominated the striking exchanges with 229 vs 67 total strikes, 85 vs 44 significant strikes, 51.8% vs 36.7% accuracy. Riki Fukuda capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:58 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 087 | 850 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Riki Fukuda dominated Tom DeBlass on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:58 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -21 |
Riki Fukuda demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Riki Fukuda capitalized on this activity level, while Tom DeBlass's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Riki Fukuda started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom DeBlass is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Riki Fukuda | Tom DeBlass |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

