July 31, 2010
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 011 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Rob Kimmons's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rob Kimmons for the expected result. Had Steve Steinbeiss pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 076 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Rob Kimmons earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 85 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 65 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 126 | 148 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Steve Steinbeiss controlled the striking through superior volume (148 vs 126 total strikes), significant strike advantage (85 vs 38). However, since Steve Steinbeiss lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rob Kimmons's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:49 | 5:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 012 | 778 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Rob Kimmons controlled Steve Steinbeiss on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:49 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 281 | 319 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Rob Kimmons demonstrated standard activity with 281 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rob Kimmons capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Steinbeiss's 319-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Rob Kimmons started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Steinbeiss is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Rob Kimmons | Steve Steinbeiss |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

