Rob Wilkinson vs Siyar Bahadurzada

September 1, 2017

Middleweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

970
(-30)
Rob Wilkinson
Winner: Siyar Bahadurzada
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 3:10

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Rob Wilkinson-30
Siyar Bahadurzada+34
1107
(+34)
Siyar Bahadurzada

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -24Siyar Bahadurzada: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Total UFC Fights15
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO9761 107
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Siyar Bahadurzada's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Siyar Bahadurzada for the expected result. Had Rob Wilkinson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -20Siyar Bahadurzada: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 029
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -24Siyar Bahadurzada: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:103:10
Win Type ELO9761 207
ELO Change-24+49
💡

What Happened

Siyar Bahadurzada gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -96Siyar Bahadurzada: +96

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Significant Strikes Landed2443
Significant Strikes Attempted4681
Total Strikes Landed3444
Knockdowns Scored03
Striking ELO9041 241
ELO Change-96+96
💡

What Happened

Siyar Bahadurzada dominated the striking exchanges with 43 vs 24 significant strikes, including 3 devastating knockdowns. Siyar Bahadurzada capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -17Siyar Bahadurzada: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted50
Ground Control Time2:180:29
Ground Strikes Landed011
Ground ELO9831 157
ELO Change-17+17
💡

What Happened

Siyar Bahadurzada landed 3 knockdowns followed by 11 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -20Siyar Bahadurzada: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Days Since Last FightN/A546
Activity ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+18
💡

What Happened

Siyar Bahadurzada demonstrated extended layoff with 546 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Siyar Bahadurzada capitalized on this activity level, while Rob Wilkinson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -20Siyar Bahadurzada: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9801 041
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Siyar Bahadurzada extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rob Wilkinson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Rob Wilkinson: -21Siyar Bahadurzada: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricRob WilkinsonSiyar Bahadurzada
Weight ClassMiddleweightMiddleweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 029
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.