June 21, 2002
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:27 | 0:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 108 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -32 |
Robbie Lawler gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 125 | 873 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Robbie Lawler controlled the striking exchanges with 28 vs 11 significant strikes, 54.9% vs 29.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Robbie Lawler capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:02 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 127 | 867 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Robbie Lawler landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 43 | 43 |
| Activity ELO | 1 113 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +92 | -18 |
Robbie Lawler demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 43 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Robbie Lawler capitalized on this activity level, while Steve Berger's 43-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Robbie Lawler extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Steve Berger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Robbie Lawler | Steve Berger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.